Bucks Diary

Friday, February 23, 2007

Bucks should trade Michael Redd

How's that for flamebait? Actually, I'm being serious. I just read a rather compelling (and frankly sobering) article posted on nbadraft.net entitled "The GoldMedalSuperstar Theory" (its a two part article and you can read it here and here). The article was very well researched and forcefully written and argued. Its central conclusion, in a nutshell, is the following: Any team that hopes to win an NBA championship had better have at least one player who projects as a GoldMedalSuperstar, and preferably more than one.

So what the hell's a GoldMedalSuperstar you ask? Without going too far into the article's self-contained terminology (you can look at it yourselves if you are interested), GoldMedalSuperstars are determined by toting the number of All-NBA and MVP votes a player receives over the course of his career. The twenty highest cumulative vote getters under this tabulation are deemed... GoldMedalSuperstars. And here's the really sobering rub. It turns out that nearly 80% of all NBA championships were won by teams who were led by at least one of these elite GoldMedalSuperstars.

And that's not all. Simply to get to an NBA Finals you should have at least one or more of the top 84 all-time vote getters on your roster (or players -- like Dwayne Wade, for instance -- who project into that category over the lifetime of their careers). Without such players on your roster, the historical odds of getting to the mountaintop are miniscule.

Which brings me back to the title of this post. If you buy the article's thesis, and its rather persuasive, then you must conclude that the Bucks will never sniff an NBA title with Michael Redd on their roster. Not because he is useless. Rather because he is not useful enough to justify the amount of salary cap room he eats. Following the GoldMedalSuperstar theory's logic, you have to reserve your max dollar designation for truly special players. And Redd, while good, is not truly special. He's a scorer who could be a component on an NBA championship team (think Andrew Toney, for example) but its highly unlikely you can build an NBA champion around him. He's too one-dimensional. He's almost a flashy role player, in other words.

Now, there are potential holes in the GoldMedalSuperstar theory (for instance, the possibility exists that the votes are circular, in other words, once a player wins a championship he then garners many more MVP and All-NBA votes as a result... I don't know that, I just bring it up as a possible criticism). However, in the case of Michael Redd and the Bucks, I think the argument's logic is fairly ironclad. If you want to see a crown on the Green-and-Red and dance in the middle of Kilbourn anytime soon, it would be wise to remove Mr. Redd's salary from your ledgers and hope and pray that with that space you can attract a rare talent someday soon.

Footnote: Of course, the possibility exists that the Bucks could get Greg Oden or Kevin Durant in the draft. They might be top 84 talents who, in their inexpensive early years, could lead the Bucks back to glory. In that case, Redd's salary would not be a hinderance. But that's really more of a pipe dream.


At February 23, 2007 at 5:41 AM, Blogger The Bonafied Boy said...

if the bucks can get greg oden, wouldnt it be better to keep michael redd around?

At February 23, 2007 at 1:48 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

A very interesting theory, and the Bucks, alas, illustrate it all too well when you consider they traded Abdul-Jabbar to the Lakers for Junior Bridgeman, Brian Winters and others in the mid-70s. In other words we traded a GoldMedalSuperstar and potentially multiple trips to the finals for the nucleus of a fine ensemble team that was just good enough to lose to all those GoldMedal Dr.J and Bird led teams.

You could make a similar argument, although one much more prone to that circular logic flaw, regarding Hall of Fame quarterbacks and Super Bowl wins. A quick look at the last 20 years shows 65% of the NFL champs were led by current or future Hall of Famers: Manning, Brady, Elway, Favre, Aikman, Young and Montana. Throw in Kurt Warner's brief run of Hall of Fame-like play and the number hits 70%. (Uber-defenses at their short-lived peaks account for almost all the rest, e.g. Ravens, Tampa Bay, the LT-led Giants.)

I vote the Packers and Bucks trade away most of their current rosters in a desperate attempt to grab Vince Young and Dwight Howard.

At February 23, 2007 at 2:09 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Very good entry.

You seem knowledgeable, come discuss Buck's basketball at:


At February 24, 2007 at 2:42 AM, Blogger Treego said...

Hmmm...we dumped Ray Allen awhile back for mediocre and temporary talent. That didn't help at all.

Michael Redd is not the problem.

His contract is not prohibiting the Bucks from signing very good talent in the NBA draft.

Good players on the roster are not the problem. We need all the good players we can get. We need less of the poor players and non-useful players like Greer, Gadzuric, Markota, etc.

Get as many good players you can get---grab the stars when you can along the way, too, of course.

The Pistons very recently were in consecutive NBA Finals with nary a superstar on their roster.

I do see your point, though, overall. I just think that NBA teams don't have to gut their rosters to get superstar talent. And with that premise in mind, one has to retain good talent to make it that much easier to be championship/deep playoffs contenders once the superstar talent hits the roster.

At March 22, 2007 at 12:12 PM, Anonymous david said...

your stupid, unless michael redd goes to the bulls its the worst trade ever... and thats final

At March 22, 2007 at 12:19 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Michael Redd is the worst clutch player i have seen in many years. He has countless numbers of opportunities to hit game winning or game tying shots and he has come up short on all accounts. He shouldnt be traded because the Bucks are horrible and that's where horrible platers belong.

At March 22, 2007 at 12:23 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

you know what "david" the bucks won't even get anywhere near the finals so you cant even say that thats final because the bucks are horrible. As a matter of fact, it just so happens that buck and suck rhyme, and thats final, so put that in your pip and smoke it

At March 22, 2007 at 12:24 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

you know what "david" the bucks won't even get anywhere near the finals so you cant even say that thats final because the bucks are horrible. As a matter of fact, it just so happens that buck and suck rhyme, and thats final, so put that in your pipe and smoke it

At January 27, 2010 at 1:59 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

[b]CIALIS KAUFEN EUR 1.10 pro pille >>> Jetzt Kaufen! <<< CIALIS BESTELLEN OHNE REZEPT CIALIS fuer frau[/b]
[b]CIALIS KAUFEN CIALIS Online Kaufen CIALIS bestellen[/b]
[url=http://rainedrop.com/community/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=126]KAUF CIALIS OHNE REZEPT[/url] - CIALIS BILLIG ONLINE
[url=http://www.colleges.ch/curriculum-vitae-f7/kaufen-cialis-eur-1-15-pro-pille-cialis-bestellen-rezeptfrei-t597.html]CIALIS KAUFEN ONLINE[/url] - KAUFEN Preiswertester CIALIS
[url=http://www.clinicdiy.com/netclinic/modules.php?name=Forums&file=viewtopic&t=50&start=0&postdays=0&postorder=asc&highlight=]CIALIS Online Kaufen[/url] - CIALIS OHNE REZEPT
[b]CIALIS KAUFEN BILLIG CIALIS im Internet Kaufen erection CIALIS[/b]

At June 7, 2010 at 3:05 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

In Deutschland suchen immer mehr Menschen nach schnellen Sex Dates.[url=http://pak47.net/index.php?do=/sexchat/blog/]sex in the[/url]. Ob vernachlaessigte Hausfrau, oder geile Studentin die es sich live vor ihrer privaten Webcam besorgt - hier ist fuer jeden etwas dabei.[url=http://russianamericanlove.com/index.php?do=/sexchat/blog/]sex cam starlounge[/url].Gelangweilt von ihren Maennern, wollen diese reifen Frauen endlich wieder ein heisses Mature Sex Abenteuer erleben. So kannst du dich erst einmal von der perfekten qualitaet ueberzeugen.[url=http://www.gayspeedway.com/index.php?do=/sexchat/blog/]kleine nippel [/url]. Diese liebes hungrigen Luder wollen nur das eine.[url=http://www.onepercentworld.com/index.php?do=/sexchat/blog/]live sex feed[/url].Melde dich also gleich an und versuch es selbst. [url=http://www.texasb2b.com/index.php?do=/sexchat/blog/]home made women[/url].

At June 7, 2010 at 3:56 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

So macht Fetisch Kontaktanzeigen ansehen viel mehr Spass.[url=http://eyelucky.com/index.php?do=/sexchat/blog/]sexchat sexcam [/url]. [url=http://template.phpfoxcustomization.com/index.php?do=/sexchat/blog/]hot babe [/url].Auch die cam2cam Option is verfuegbar. So kannst du dich erst einmal von der perfekten qualitaet ueberzeugen.[url=http://www.gayspeedway.com/index.php?do=/sexchat/blog/]kleine nippel [/url]. Willst du sie zuechtigen? Oder moechtest du von einer scharfen Domina bestraft werden? Echte Fetisch Kontaktanzeigen aus ganz Deutschland.[url=http://www.meetusportal.com/index.php?do=/sexchat/blog/]heiss und feucht[/url].100% echte Amateure die von Zuhause mit der privaten Webcam senden. [url=http://www.texasb2b.com/index.php?do=/sexchat/blog/]home made women[/url].

At July 24, 2010 at 1:31 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I just wondering if anyone can recommend some good backlinks service. I just made my site and I need to get good rankings in google. What do you think which is best service for getting backlinks. I want to build many links and want to get it as cheap as possible. Thanks Jay.
BTW what do you think about this [url=http://xrumerservice.org/]backlink service[/url]

At August 6, 2010 at 5:17 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

lost your money at the [url=http://www.realcazinoz.com]casino[/url] ?over 21 and looking where to [url=http://www.generic4you.com]buy viagra online[/url]? or even how to buy [url=http://www.avi.vg]adult toys[/url]? well you can try this websites and [url=http://www.medical-250.biz]buy viagra[/url]. [url=http://www.generic4you.com]sildenafil[/url] and [url=http://www.generic4you.com]generic viagra[/url] online. you can also buy [url=http://www.generik4u.com]viagra[/url] online.
so for [url=http://www.avi.vg]sex toys[/url] and [url=http://www.ewgpresents.com]viagra online[/url] check us ! for great [url=http://www.cahv.org]viagra[/url] deals check us now!

At August 27, 2010 at 2:17 PM, Anonymous eco vacation costa rica said...

Hello congratulations you did an excellent work with this blog about Bucks should trade Michael Redd I would like to know more about this topic and please when you have any update contac me please to read it. thanks for sharing!!

At September 8, 2010 at 11:25 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

i dont see the point

At September 27, 2010 at 11:32 AM, Anonymous Firesales Costa Rica said...

Hello.. Firstly I would like to send greetings to all readers. After this, I recognize the content so interesting about this article. For me personally I liked all the information. I would like to know of cases like this more often. In my personal experience I might mention a book called Firesales Costa Rica in this book that I mentioned have very interesting topics, and also you have much to do with the main theme of this article.

At February 21, 2011 at 5:54 PM, Anonymous buy viagra said...

rx online pharmacy online pharmacy noroxin Generic Prescription Drugs joint patient clomid online pharmacy your online pharmacy keftab online pharmacy Buy cheap drugs today zimax buy pharmacy online Buy cheap drugs online affects inearly online pharmacy comparison cheapest online pharmacy bactrim generic pharmacy online compared prilocaine online pharmacy levaquin acyclovir online pharmacy Generic Drugs Online without prescription persist nitrates online pharmacy prescription ampicillin generic equivalent drugs zocor following medication online pharmacy prograf online pharmacy vantin online pharmacy store cheap prescription viagra without french online pharmacy Buy generic drugs online placebo blood canada online order pharmacy buspar buy remeron cod pharmacy online drug store pharmacy online pets online pharmacy online pharmacy technician trainingflorida online pharmacy french online pharmacybest online pharmacy where to buy discount Viagra order viagra uk viagra uk cheap purchase buy order sildenafil citrate online Cialis Generic Indiacialis withdrawal how do i order cialis online

At November 17, 2012 at 1:04 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

xanax buy xanax bars tumblr - generic equivalent of xanax

At February 3, 2013 at 7:04 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

[url=http://kaufenviagragenerika50mg.net/]viagra[/url] viagra bestellen [url=http://achat-viagra-pascher.net/]viagra generique[/url] commander viagra france [url=http://comprarviagragenerico100mg.net/]generico viagra[/url] viagra 25 mg precio [url=http://comprareviagragenerico50mg.net/]prezzo viagra[/url] viagra in farmacia

At May 1, 2013 at 1:05 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

[url=http://achetercialisgeneriqueenligne.net/]cialis generique[/url] achat cialis en france [url=http://achatcialisenlignegenerique.net/]cialis prix[/url] cialis achat en ligne [url=http://acquistarecialisonline1.net/]acquistare cialis[/url] cialis vendita [url=http://comprarcialisgenericoonline.net/]comprar cialis[/url] comprar cialis

At March 24, 2016 at 1:39 PM, Anonymous Quinn said...

That's an interesting theory.

At January 4, 2018 at 9:15 AM, Anonymous levitra generique en France said...

Ou acheter Levitra generique en France sans ordonnance avec livraison gratuite ?


Post a Comment

Links to this post:

Create a Link

<< Home