Bucks Diary's 20 Spins: Volume 10
We have just as many pingpong balls today as we had yesterday, but my results, for some reason, just get worse and worse. Today I only got 3 results in the money picks (15%). And, get this, a whopping 15 of my results were below the Bucks rightful third spot (75%). Again, the fifth spot was the most frequent result.
One thing I didn't realize when I was doing my earlier post -- Atlanta's number one pick is owned by the Phoenix Suns. The Hawks, therefore, have no incentive whatsoever to play down to the third worst spot. That should help the Bucks, at least marginally.
A scary thought, though... what if Phoenix lands one of the money picks? Could you imagine them with Oden or Durant? It would be the equivalent of the Lakers getting Magic when they already had Kareem or getting Worthy when they already had Magic and Kareem. Or, of course, what the Celtics might have been had Len Bias lived. At any rate, they look like they will become an even bigger monster next year.
Correction: A very helpful reader has corrected me. It turns out the Hawks in fact DO have an incentive to play down to the third worst spot. The reader informed me that the pick they traded to the Suns is top three protected. That means the Suns haven't got a shot at Oden or Durant, and the Hawks have an incentive to increase the odds that they will land in one of the top three. But if the Hawks pick isn't in the top 3, the Suns still more than likely will get a very good player to add to their roster.