Bucks Diary

Sunday, July 08, 2007

Oh, oh... we may lose Mo


According to the Miami Herald, the Miami Heat are in the process of seriously wooing Bucks free agent PG Mo Williams, and according to Williams' agent, he's receptive. Heat upper management, including coach Pat Riley, spent the day yesterday giving their pitch to Mo, whom the Herald describes as the most coveted point guard left available in free agency.

Luckily, there's only so much the Heat can offer. They are over the salary cap. Thus, if Williams did go to Miami, it wouldn't be for money. The Bucks have to hope that greed wins out, because losing Williams would leave them with a gigantic hole in their roster at the point guard spot. They are not in an enviable position.

No Better Options for Bucks

The Bucks are in a Catch-22 situation regarding Williams, caused mainly by the distortions of the NBA's free agent market. They have to sign him, but even if they do sign him, he won't be worth the money they will have to pay him.

That's because the NBA free agency system artificially increases the price for middling talent like Williams by selectively limiting the overall supply of talent available. If every player was made a free agent after every season, Williams would not be in such high demand, because he is a middle of the road point guard at best. But, because he is competing in a field in which his talent is now the best available, his market value has become grossly distorted, especially in the eyes of the Bucks. The Bucks are now in a position where they have no credible option besides Williams, which means he is worth well more to them than his productive value would naturally dictate. In short, the Bucks will have to spend a lot more money to prevent getting a lot worse, but the extra money spent won't make them a lot better, either.

10 Comments:

At July 8, 2007 at 4:57 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I guess you maybe shoulda drafted a PG or two, instead of a 7-foot foreign project... or two.

 
At July 8, 2007 at 5:19 PM, Blogger Ty Will said...

Never draft for need, always draft for value.

 
At July 8, 2007 at 5:25 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Then I guess you shoulda taken Brandan Wright.

 
At July 8, 2007 at 5:26 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Or Deron Williams, or Chris Paul.

 
At July 8, 2007 at 5:33 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Sounds like the Bucks are about to get screwed! If he goes, then looks like Brevin Knight's price will go up, as now the Bucks will probably want him. If Mo is smart, he's jet for Miami. Wouldn't wouldn't want play next to DWade and Shaq, let alone live down south? Check me at www.clutch3.com

 
At July 9, 2007 at 8:51 AM, Blogger Diesel said...

Losing a chance at Billups hurts. Re-signing Mo should be Larry Harris' top priority. If Harris is focusing on Wallace, then he is an idiot. Wallace could be the next Tim Thomas of the NBA. Remember good old Timmy? TT had an awesome start to his Bucks career, was wooed by the Bulls in FA, got big time cash by MKE and then pretty much disappeared.

 
At July 9, 2007 at 8:52 AM, Blogger Diesel said...

Don't get me wrong Wallace would be a nice addition but not before getting Mo Williams back in the fold. Since Larry discovered Mo, like a diamond in the rough, I am betting that he gets a deal done today with the Bucks.

 
At July 9, 2007 at 3:20 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Ah,Yosarrian would be proud of this catch-22.

 
At July 10, 2007 at 7:09 PM, Blogger Ty Will said...

The book is obviously brilliant, but I think the movie version is better than critics give it credit for being. Especially with Bob Newhart as Major Major.

 
At July 10, 2007 at 7:13 PM, Blogger Ty Will said...

I especially love the part where he explains to his aide (played by Mr. Roper from Three's Company) that he only wants to schedule appointments for times when he's not in his office.

 

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