Bucks Diary

Monday, December 10, 2007

NBA Offensive/Defensive Performance Rankings

Below are my offensive and defensive performance rankings based on each team's point value over average on each side of the ball. Here's what each ranking evaluates:

Offensive Rankings: the + or - number next to each team represents the average number of points that team scores above or below the amount predicted by its opponent's established defensive efficiency average (i.e. its opponent's average pts allowed per possession).

Defensive Rankings: the + or - number next to each team represents the average number of points that team allows above or below the amount predicted by its opponent's established offensive efficiency average (i.e. its opponent's average pts scored per possession).

The theory behind the rankings is that they give a clear picture of how a team is truly performing without regard to its wins or losses or the strength of its schedule by comparing that team's performance against the average performance of the rest of the Association against the same set of opponents and given the same number of possessions.

All data is updated through games played on Sunday, December 9th.

Offense

1. San Antonio Spurs...+6.60
2. Dallas Mavericks...+5.35
3. Detroit Pistons...+5.32
4. Los Angeles Lakers...+4.79
5. Boston Celtics...+4.41
6. Phoenix Suns...+4.36
7. Golden State Warriors...+4.33
8. Toronto Raptors...+4.20
9. Utah Jazz...+3.68
10. Orlando Magic...+2.73
11. Washington Bullets...+2.51
12. Memphis Grizzlies...+2.10
13. Indiana Pacers...-0.77
14. New Orleans Hornets...-0.91
15. Portland Trailblazers...-1.20
16. Sacramento Kings...--1.41
17. Houston Rockets...-1.64
18. Milwaukee Bucks...-1.91
19. Charlotte Bobcats...-2.47
20. Denver Nuggets...-2.68
21. Cleveland Cavaliers...-3.51
22. Miami Heat...-3.60
23. Atlanta Hawks...-3.72
24. Philadelphia Sixers...-4.30
25. New Jersey Nets...--5.13
26. Minnesota Timberwolves...-6.42
27. New York Knickerbockers...-7.22
28. Los Angeles Clippers...-7.23
29. Chicago Bulls...-7.38
30. Seattle Supersonics...-7.95

Defense

1. Boston Celtics...-8.73
2. Orlando Magic...-5.29
3. Houston Rockets...-4.88
4. Chicago Bulls...-4.23
5. Denver Nuggets...-4.07
6. New Orleans Hornets...-3.37
7. Los Angeles Lakers...-2.30
8. San Antonio Spurs...-2.25
9. Philadelphia Sixers...-2.19
10. Atlanta Hawks...-1.97
11. Detroit Pistons...-1.18
12. Los Angeles Clippers...-1.03
13. Miami Heat...-0.75
14. Indiana Pacers...-0.74
15. Toronto Raptors...-0.57
16. Sacramento Kings...-0.48
17. Utah Jazz...-0.35
18. Seattle Supersonics...-0.20
19. Phoenix Suns...-0.17
20. Cleveland Cavaliers...-0.01
21. New Jersey Nets...+0.58
22. Golden State Warriors...+0.31
23. Washington Bullets...+0.88
24. Portland Trailblazers...+1.30
25. Minnesota Timberwolves...+2.05
26. Dallas Mavericks...+2.63
27. Charlotte Bobcats...+2.93
28. Memphis Grizzlies...+3.50
29. New York Knicks...+4.95
30. Milwaukee Bucks...+5.39

5 Comments:

At December 10, 2007 at 2:33 AM, Anonymous Glenn said...

Trade! TRADE! Oh god, I need a trade. These Bucks are going nowhere. If only the bit players would play hard enough to warrant some value.

 
At December 10, 2007 at 6:30 PM, Anonymous paulpressey25 said...

Where were the Bucks in defensive rankings when they were 7-4?

Seems to me either the guys have quit playing or the other teams have adjusted around the Larry K. defensive schemes.

 
At December 11, 2007 at 2:55 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

if I remember they were around middle of the pack for a little bit, just like our lofty preseason goal.

I don't know what it is with these guys. Like last year, blow out the Pistons in Auburn Hills on opening night and then get blown out by Toronto in game #2. The injuries made things less confusing for a while, and now everyone's back and I don't even know what I'm seeing on the tv any more, other than a team that's not very good and has no prospects to get better any time soon.

Other teams looking at our roster for a trade must think of it like I think when I look at Memphis's roster, or the Knicks. Too few good pieces and a bunch of losers. In a way watching the Bucks every game might be the closest I ever get to feeling like the last man on earth. No offense at all to the rest of you all. I just hope we can find another Kohl to keep the team here another 20 years, and also hope Kohl II is a better fit in the role of basketball team owner.

 
At December 12, 2007 at 6:55 PM, Blogger TCW said...

I went back and looked it up. At 7-4, the Bucks defense was 23rd with a +2.02. Their offense was near the top 10 at the time, though. Now that's fallen off a bit.

Actually, on the West Coast swing, they lost because their offense was subpar, while their defense has been a bit better than usual, for the most part.

 
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