Bucks Diary

Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Are the Bucks getting jobbed on the road?

The Bucks are a poor road team. There is no question about that. But they deserve a fair shake away from home from the Association's referees. The evidence suggests they are not getting one.

As you can see from the chart, most teams' Free Throw Splits profile basically the same on the road as they do at home, with downward allowances for road bias. Not the Bucks. The Bucks look like two different teams entirely, and it makes no sense. The only team within shouting distance of the Bucks cavernous home-road free throw split disparity are the Kings, and even they come up well short.

What's going on?

Anyone who knows me knows I am the last one to supply excuses for the Bucks. But I will always follow the evidence. Here the evidence seems pretty clear. The Bucks seem to be getting a road job from the referees.

In order to dismiss referee bias, one must not only believe that the Bucks are the one team in the NBA that plays a significantly different brand of basketball on the road... one must also believe that -- on the road -- the Bucks become substantially less aggressive on offense and substantially more aggressive on defense simultaneously. No way.

Of course, none of this excuses some of the Bucks sorry efforts on the road. It is just meant to suggest they may not have been engaging their opponents on level ground.


At March 27, 2008 at 5:41 AM, Anonymous paul said...

hmmm, Bogut had his nose broken whilst going for a dunk tonight and didn't get a call - maybe your on to something....


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