I thought Villanueva's defense was good
Driving around this morning, I heard a soundbite from Bucks coach Scott Skiles following the team's absolute thrashing by the much improved Minnesota Timberwolves in their preseason debut, 117-78.
The coach was commenting on the Bucks game high scorer Charlie Villanueva when he said, "Charlie got his points, but his defense has a long way to go..."
By my defensive analysis of last night's exhibition, I think Villanueva had an excellent defensive game.
The Reverse Box Score
The one HUGE weakness inherent in Defensive Win Score is its lack of game-to-game statistics needed to calculate the metric. There is, however, one way to get those necessary statistics, but its tedious and very time consuming. You have to essentially construct a reverse box score, which I did in very small part this morning using the NBA's "Play-by-Play description" of last night's exhibition. I got sick of the project right away, though, and quit after I finished only two Bucks players... SG Michael Redd and PF Charlie Villanueva. I'll do better once they pare the rosters down.
Here are my brief defensive "reverse" stats for Villanueva and Redd from last night's exhibition (Redd's statistics I'm very certain of, Villanueva's... pretty certain of, although there was a stretch in the third quarter where he was paired with real training camp vagabonds, so recognizing proper matchups was especially hard... but I'm pretty sure I had CV on the right guy).
Michael Redd's DWS line: 19 min; 5pts; 2-3 FGAs; 2 Rebs; 5 Ass; 2 PF
Opponents Win Score Above Average per 48: +7.4
Charlie V's DWS line: 22 min; 4 pts; 2-3 FGAs; 2 Rebs; 1 Ass; 2 TOs; 2 PF
Opponents Win Score Above Average per 48: -10.2
So, as you can see, I thought Villanueva played superbly on defense, whereas Redd just texted that game in. Sure, it helped that Villanueva was guarding the absolutely unproductive "Dancing Machine" Madsen for most of the night, while Redd had to check the underrated Mike Miller (though, in fairness, Villanueva did have to guard Kevin Love as well). But you check who's in front of you. (Please notice the exorbitant amount of assists permitted by Redd. That is one of my most reliable shorthand indicators of defensive effort. Think about it. When are you able to see the passing lanes and make your best passes? When your defender is slacking off. Thus, its not a scientific indicator, but pretty indicative nonetheless).
All in all, a terrible beginning for the Green and Red. Not because of the loss. I'm not worried about the result. But with a new regime and all, I would have thought the players might have had just a smidgen of professional pride and maybe therefore they might have summoned a better effort than they did. Didn't happen. The effort they gave was, to paraphrase Kevin Garnett, "garbage and more garbage."
If I were Scotty, I'd have the industrial size pipe reamer working full blast today. Knowing him I'm sure he will.